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Official National Weather Service (NWS) point forecast and real-time wind conditions for Lake Tarpon (Florida). 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines, peak gusts, watercraft recreation safety thresholds, and 7-day marine outlook.
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 9 at 11:06AM EDT until October 10 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Today: High 87°F · Low 78°F
Peak gusts: 21 mph · Lake surface chop expected
Humidity: 84% · Barometer: 29.92 inHg
USGS water monitoring available for Lake Tarpon.
Coastal Flood Advisory issued October 9 at 11:06AM EDT until October 10 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Poor for boating (43/100), from 4 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 9 mph from the south-southeast. 19% chance of precipitation. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Rip Current Statement. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: visibility and conditions, verified water access. Confidence is moderate (84%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Fair for fishing (65/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 9 mph from the south-southeast. Dusk hours (20:00 local). The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: pressure trend, water temperature. Confidence is moderate (74%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Poor for kayaking (45/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 9 mph from the south-southeast. 19% chance of precipitation. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Rip Current Statement. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Confidence is high (90%).
Water temperature is not available from a verified source for this lake. No swimming score is shown without it. Supporting this: Air temperature 80°F. Wind 9 mph from the south-southeast. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Rip Current Statement. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: water temperature.
| Time | Air Temp | Wind (mph) | Direction | Peak Gusts | Rain Chance | Sky & Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 PM | 80°F | 9 mph | S | ⚡ 18 mph | 19% | Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 9 PM | 80°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 20 mph | 17% | Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 10 PM | 79°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 20 mph | 11% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 11 PM | 79°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 18 mph | 10% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 12 AM | 78°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 20 mph | 13% | Partly Cloudy |
| 1 AM | 78°F | 9 mph | SE | ⚡ 20 mph | 15% | Isolated Rain Showers |
| 2 AM | 78°F | 9 mph | S | ⚡ 18 mph | 24% | Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 3 AM | 78°F | 9 mph | S | ⚡ 20 mph | 31% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 4 AM | 78°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 20 mph | 40% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 5 AM | 78°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 20 mph | 40% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 6 AM | 78°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 20 mph | 40% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 7 AM | 78°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 18 mph | 41% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 8 AM | 78°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 18 mph | 53% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 9 AM | 80°F | 12 mph | S | ⚡ 18 mph | 56% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 10 AM | 83°F | 13 mph | S | ⚡ 18 mph | 54% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 11 AM | 84°F | 13 mph | S | ⚡ 20 mph | 55% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 12 PM | 86°F | 14 mph | S | ⚡ 21 mph | 58% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 1 PM | 87°F | 15 mph | S | ⚡ 22 mph | 56% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 2 PM | 87°F | 15 mph | S | ⚡ 23 mph | 56% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 3 PM | 87°F | 16 mph | S | ⚡ 23 mph | 58% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 4 PM | 86°F | 15 mph | S | ⚡ 21 mph | 64% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 5 PM | 85°F | 13 mph | S | ⚡ 20 mph | 65% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 6 PM | 84°F | 12 mph | S | ⚡ 18 mph | 57% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 7 PM | 82°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 16 mph | 46% | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms |
Mirror-like to gentle rippled water. Optimal conditions for paddleboarding, kayaking, swimming, and beginner water skiing or wakeboarding.
Pleasant breeze with small wavelets. Great for sailing, pleasure cruising, pontoon boats, and trolling for trout and bass.
Moderate waves with whitecaps likely. Requires skilled boat handling; kayaks, canoes, and stand-up paddleboards should stay close to sheltered bays.
Steep waves, cold spray, and hazardous open water. Avoid small craft voyages. Always check official National Weather Service lake wind advisories.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southeast wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Heat index values as high as 100. South southeast wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 11pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and 2am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. South wind 6 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. South southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. Northwest wind 1 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunny, with a high near 84. North wind 2 to 9 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 71. North wind 2 to 7 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 84. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
Clear, with a low around 70. North wind 1 to 7 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Clear, with a low around 70.
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Mostly clear, with a low around 70.
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Lake Tarpon currently reports 81°F with wind velocity near 8 mph from the S. Atmospheric forecasts and 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines are updated hourly from the National Weather Service gridpoint matching the lake's coordinates.
At Lake Tarpon and surrounding mountain valleys, diurnal heating of the surrounding terrain causes strong thermal pressure differentials known locally as afternoon breezes (such as the Washoe Zephyr at Lake Tahoe). Wind speeds typically peak between 1:00 PM and 5:00 PM before calming near sunset.
For stand-up paddleboarding (SUP), canoeing, and light kayaks, winds under 7 mph (light breeze) offer the safest, glassiest surface conditions. Between 8–14 mph, small wavelets develop, suitable for sailboats and powerboats. Winds exceeding 15 mph create steep whitecaps and rapid drift; winds over 21 mph warrant small craft warnings.
All weather and wind telemetry is fetched directly from the National Weather Service (NOAA - WFO TBW) high-resolution numerical point-forecast API. LakeRadar uses the official gridpoint for Lake Tarpon without artificial smoothing or third-party estimates.
Yes. Live hydrological sensor readings, 30-day elevation histories, full-pool benchmarks, and USGS station provenance are available on our dedicated Lake Tarpon Water Level & Temperature page.
View Lake Tarpon Water Level & Temperature →