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Official National Weather Service (NWS) point forecast and real-time wind conditions for Lake Waconia (Minnesota). 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines, peak gusts, watercraft recreation safety thresholds, and 7-day marine outlook.
Today: High 83°F · Low 62°F
Peak gusts: 31 mph · Lake surface chop expected
Humidity: 51% · Barometer: 29.79 inHg
USGS water monitoring available for Lake Waconia.
Fair for boating (64/100), from 4 available inputs. Supporting this: No active official alerts for this lake. Wind 10 mph from the south. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: visibility and conditions, verified water access. Confidence is moderate (84%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Fair for fishing (69/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 10 mph from the south. Dusk hours (18:00 local). The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: pressure trend, water temperature. Confidence is moderate (74%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Fair for kayaking (63/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 10 mph from the south. No active official alerts for this lake. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Confidence is high (90%).
Water temperature is not available from a verified source for this lake. No swimming score is shown without it. Supporting this: No active official alerts for this lake. Air temperature 83°F. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: water temperature.
| Time | Air Temp | Wind (mph) | Direction | Peak Gusts | Rain Chance | Sky & Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 PM | 83°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 14 mph | 0% | Partly Cloudy |
| 7 PM | 80°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 13 mph | 0% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 8 PM | 76°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 14 mph | 0% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 9 PM | 73°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 14 mph | 0% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 10 PM | 71°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 15 mph | 1% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 11 PM | 71°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 14 mph | 1% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 12 AM | 71°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 13 mph | 1% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 1 AM | 70°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 13 mph | 0% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 2 AM | 69°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 12 mph | 2% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 3 AM | 68°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 12 mph | 1% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 4 AM | 66°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 10 mph | 1% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 5 AM | 65°F | 5 mph | W | ⚡ 10 mph | 0% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 6 AM | 64°F | 5 mph | W | ⚡ 10 mph | 0% | Mostly Sunny |
| 7 AM | 62°F | 5 mph | W | ⚡ 9 mph | 1% | Partly Sunny |
| 8 AM | 63°F | 5 mph | NW | ⚡ 10 mph | 0% | Partly Sunny |
| 9 AM | 65°F | 5 mph | N | ⚡ 10 mph | 0% | Mostly Sunny |
| 10 AM | 68°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 9 mph | 1% | Mostly Sunny |
| 11 AM | 71°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 9 mph | 3% | Mostly Sunny |
| 12 PM | 73°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 5% | Mostly Sunny |
| 1 PM | 76°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 10% | Mostly Sunny |
| 2 PM | 78°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 18% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 3 PM | 80°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 12 mph | 16% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 4 PM | 81°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 10 mph | 8% | Mostly Sunny |
| 5 PM | 80°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 12 mph | 7% | Mostly Sunny |
Mirror-like to gentle rippled water. Optimal conditions for paddleboarding, kayaking, swimming, and beginner water skiing or wakeboarding.
Pleasant breeze with small wavelets. Great for sailing, pleasure cruising, pontoon boats, and trolling for trout and bass.
Moderate waves with whitecaps likely. Requires skilled boat handling; kayaks, canoes, and stand-up paddleboards should stay close to sheltered bays.
Steep waves, cold spray, and hazardous open water. Avoid small craft voyages. Always check official National Weather Service lake wind advisories.
Mostly cloudy. Low around 62, with temperatures rising to around 65 overnight. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. North northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. North northwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 62. North wind around 5 mph.
A slight chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 60. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
A chance of rain showers before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. West northwest wind 5 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Northwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph.
Widespread frost after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Widespread frost before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 56. West southwest wind 0 to 10 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 41. South wind 10 to 15 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 64. South southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Lake Waconia currently reports 74°F with wind velocity near 13 mph from the SW. Atmospheric forecasts and 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines are updated hourly from the National Weather Service gridpoint matching the lake's coordinates.
At Lake Waconia and surrounding mountain valleys, diurnal heating of the surrounding terrain causes strong thermal pressure differentials known locally as afternoon breezes (such as the Washoe Zephyr at Lake Tahoe). Wind speeds typically peak between 1:00 PM and 5:00 PM before calming near sunset.
For stand-up paddleboarding (SUP), canoeing, and light kayaks, winds under 7 mph (light breeze) offer the safest, glassiest surface conditions. Between 8–14 mph, small wavelets develop, suitable for sailboats and powerboats. Winds exceeding 15 mph create steep whitecaps and rapid drift; winds over 21 mph warrant small craft warnings.
All weather and wind telemetry is fetched directly from the National Weather Service (NOAA - WFO MPX) high-resolution numerical point-forecast API. LakeRadar uses the official gridpoint for Lake Waconia without artificial smoothing or third-party estimates.
Yes. Live hydrological sensor readings, 30-day elevation histories, full-pool benchmarks, and USGS station provenance are available on our dedicated Lake Waconia Water Level & Temperature page.
View Lake Waconia Water Level & Temperature →