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Official National Weather Service (NWS) point forecast and real-time wind conditions for Patagonia Lake (Arizona). 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines, peak gusts, watercraft recreation safety thresholds, and 7-day marine outlook.
Wind Advisory issued October 9 at 9:19AM MST until October 11 at 11:00PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Today: High 84°F · Low 65°F
Peak gusts: 5 mph · Lake surface chop expected
Humidity: 22% · Barometer: 29.70 inHg
USGS water monitoring available for Patagonia Lake.
Wind Advisory issued October 9 at 9:19AM MST until October 11 at 11:00PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Very Poor / Avoid for boating (30/100), from 4 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 6 mph from the south-southeast. Gusts to 13 mph. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Wind Advisory. Wind Advisory is in effect for this lake. Boating scores are capped at 30. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: visibility and conditions, verified water access. Confidence is moderate (84%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Fair for fishing (62/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 6 mph from the south-southeast. Sky is cloudy (63% cloud cover). The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: pressure trend, water temperature. Confidence is moderate (74%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Very Poor / Avoid for kayaking (30/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 6 mph from the south-southeast. Gusts to 13 mph. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Wind Advisory. Wind Advisory is in effect for this lake. Kayaking scores are capped at 30. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Confidence is high (90%).
Water temperature is not available from a verified source for this lake. No swimming score is shown without it. Supporting this: Air temperature 84°F. Wind 6 mph from the south-southeast. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Wind Advisory. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: water temperature.
| Time | Air Temp | Wind (mph) | Direction | Peak Gusts | Rain Chance | Sky & Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 PM | 84°F | 6 mph | S | ⚡ 13 mph | 21% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 5 PM | 82°F | 5 mph | SE | ⚡ 12 mph | 15% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 6 PM | 78°F | 3 mph | E | ⚡ 10 mph | 15% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 7 PM | 76°F | 3 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 15% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 8 PM | 74°F | 5 mph | SE | ⚡ 9 mph | 5% | Partly Cloudy |
| 9 PM | 73°F | 5 mph | SE | ⚡ 10 mph | 5% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 10 PM | 71°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 10 mph | 5% | Partly Cloudy |
| 11 PM | 70°F | 6 mph | SE | ⚡ 12 mph | 4% | Partly Cloudy |
| 12 AM | 69°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 12 mph | 4% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 1 AM | 68°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 10 mph | 4% | Partly Cloudy |
| 2 AM | 68°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 4% | Partly Cloudy |
| 3 AM | 66°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 4% | Partly Cloudy |
| 4 AM | 66°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 4% | Partly Cloudy |
| 5 AM | 65°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 3% | Partly Cloudy |
| 6 AM | 65°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 3% | Mostly Sunny |
| 7 AM | 65°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 3% | Sunny |
| 8 AM | 69°F | 6 mph | E | ⚡ 10 mph | 10% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 9 AM | 74°F | 7 mph | S | ⚡ 13 mph | 10% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 10 AM | 78°F | 9 mph | S | ⚡ 16 mph | 10% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 11 AM | 81°F | 12 mph | S | ⚡ 18 mph | 32% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 12 PM | 82°F | 13 mph | S | ⚡ 21 mph | 32% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 1 PM | 84°F | 14 mph | SW | ⚡ 23 mph | 32% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 2 PM | 82°F | 15 mph | SW | ⚡ 24 mph | 41% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 3 PM | 80°F | 15 mph | S | ⚡ 25 mph | 41% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
Mirror-like to gentle rippled water. Optimal conditions for paddleboarding, kayaking, swimming, and beginner water skiing or wakeboarding.
Pleasant breeze with small wavelets. Great for sailing, pleasure cruising, pontoon boats, and trolling for trout and bass.
Moderate waves with whitecaps likely. Requires skilled boat handling; kayaks, canoes, and stand-up paddleboards should stay close to sheltered bays.
Steep waves, cold spray, and hazardous open water. Avoid small craft voyages. Always check official National Weather Service lake wind advisories.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. High near 88, with temperatures falling to around 82 in the afternoon. South southwest wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. East wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. High near 85, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. South southeast wind 10 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8am, then patchy blowing dust and showers and thunderstorms likely between 8am and 2pm, then patchy blowing dust and showers and thunderstorms likely between 2pm and 5pm, then patchy blowing dust and a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. South wind 21 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Patchy blowing dust and a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
A chance of rain showers before 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
A slight chance of rain showers after 5am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
A slight chance of rain showers before 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Sunny, with a high near 74.
Clear, with a low around 49.
Sunny, with a high near 79.
Clear, with a low around 54.
Patagonia Lake currently reports 90°F with wind velocity near 3 mph from the SW. Atmospheric forecasts and 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines are updated hourly from the National Weather Service gridpoint matching the lake's coordinates.
At Patagonia Lake and surrounding mountain valleys, diurnal heating of the surrounding terrain causes strong thermal pressure differentials known locally as afternoon breezes (such as the Washoe Zephyr at Lake Tahoe). Wind speeds typically peak between 1:00 PM and 5:00 PM before calming near sunset.
For stand-up paddleboarding (SUP), canoeing, and light kayaks, winds under 7 mph (light breeze) offer the safest, glassiest surface conditions. Between 8–14 mph, small wavelets develop, suitable for sailboats and powerboats. Winds exceeding 15 mph create steep whitecaps and rapid drift; winds over 21 mph warrant small craft warnings.
All weather and wind telemetry is fetched directly from the National Weather Service (NOAA - WFO TWC) high-resolution numerical point-forecast API. LakeRadar uses the official gridpoint for Patagonia Lake without artificial smoothing or third-party estimates.
Yes. Live hydrological sensor readings, 30-day elevation histories, full-pool benchmarks, and USGS station provenance are available on our dedicated Patagonia Lake Water Level & Temperature page.
View Patagonia Lake Water Level & Temperature →