Loading page content…
Loading page content…
Loading lake conditions…
Official National Weather Service (NWS) point forecast and real-time wind conditions for San Carlos Lake (Arizona). 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines, peak gusts, watercraft recreation safety thresholds, and 7-day marine outlook.
Wind Advisory issued October 9 at 9:19AM MST until October 11 at 11:00PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Today: High 92°F · Low 71°F
Peak gusts: 8 mph · Lake surface chop expected
Humidity: 20% · Barometer: 29.72 inHg
USGS water monitoring available for San Carlos Lake.
Wind Advisory issued October 9 at 9:19AM MST until October 11 at 11:00PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Very Poor / Avoid for boating (30/100), from 4 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 10 mph from the southeast. Gusts to 17 mph. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Wind Advisory. Wind Advisory is in effect for this lake. Boating scores are capped at 30. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: visibility and conditions, verified water access. Confidence is moderate (84%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Fair for fishing (62/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 10 mph from the southeast. Sky is partly cloudy (34% cloud cover). The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: pressure trend, water temperature. Confidence is moderate (74%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Very Poor / Avoid for kayaking (30/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 10 mph from the southeast. Gusts to 17 mph. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Wind Advisory. Wind Advisory is in effect for this lake. Kayaking scores are capped at 30. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Confidence is high (90%).
Water temperature is not available from a verified source for this lake. No swimming score is shown without it. Supporting this: Air temperature 92°F. 6% chance of precipitation. Working against it: Active moderate alert: Wind Advisory. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: water temperature.
| Time | Air Temp | Wind (mph) | Direction | Peak Gusts | Rain Chance | Sky & Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 PM | 92°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 17 mph | 6% | Mostly Sunny |
| 6 PM | 89°F | 5 mph | SE | ⚡ 15 mph | 6% | Partly Cloudy |
| 7 PM | 85°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 12 mph | 6% | Partly Cloudy |
| 8 PM | 82°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 10 mph | 3% | Partly Cloudy |
| 9 PM | 81°F | 5 mph | E | ⚡ 9 mph | 3% | Partly Cloudy |
| 10 PM | 80°F | 5 mph | N | ⚡ 12 mph | 3% | Partly Cloudy |
| 11 PM | 79°F | 10 mph | NE | ⚡ 13 mph | 4% | Partly Cloudy |
| 12 AM | 78°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 12 mph | 4% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 1 AM | 76°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 10 mph | 4% | Partly Cloudy |
| 2 AM | 75°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 9 mph | 5% | Partly Cloudy |
| 3 AM | 73°F | 5 mph | N | ⚡ 8 mph | 5% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 4 AM | 72°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 8 mph | 5% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 5 AM | 72°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 8 mph | 4% | Mostly Cloudy |
| 6 AM | 71°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 9 mph | 4% | Mostly Sunny |
| 7 AM | 72°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 8 mph | 4% | Mostly Sunny |
| 8 AM | 74°F | 5 mph | NE | ⚡ 12 mph | 6% | Mostly Sunny |
| 9 AM | 79°F | 10 mph | E | ⚡ 13 mph | 6% | Mostly Sunny |
| 10 AM | 82°F | 10 mph | E | ⚡ 15 mph | 6% | Mostly Sunny |
| 11 AM | 86°F | 10 mph | E | ⚡ 16 mph | 22% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 12 PM | 87°F | 10 mph | E | ⚡ 16 mph | 22% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 1 PM | 89°F | 10 mph | SE | ⚡ 16 mph | 22% | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 2 PM | 90°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 17 mph | 45% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 3 PM | 88°F | 10 mph | W | ⚡ 18 mph | 45% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 4 PM | 87°F | 10 mph | SW | ⚡ 17 mph | 45% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
Mirror-like to gentle rippled water. Optimal conditions for paddleboarding, kayaking, swimming, and beginner water skiing or wakeboarding.
Pleasant breeze with small wavelets. Great for sailing, pleasure cruising, pontoon boats, and trolling for trout and bass.
Moderate waves with whitecaps likely. Requires skilled boat handling; kayaks, canoes, and stand-up paddleboards should stay close to sheltered bays.
Steep waves, cold spray, and hazardous open water. Avoid small craft voyages. Always check official National Weather Service lake wind advisories.
Mostly sunny. High near 94, with temperatures falling to around 92 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 10 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 71. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. High near 91, with temperatures falling to around 85 in the afternoon. East wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. East northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 11am, then patchy blowing dust and showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. South southeast wind 10 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Patchy blowing dust and showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. South southeast wind 0 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. South southwest wind 0 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
A chance of rain showers after 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South southwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
A chance of rain showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. South southwest wind 0 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. West southwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 55. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 81. North northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
San Carlos Lake currently reports 93°F with wind velocity near 5 mph from the SE. Atmospheric forecasts and 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines are updated hourly from the National Weather Service gridpoint matching the lake's coordinates.
At San Carlos Lake and surrounding mountain valleys, diurnal heating of the surrounding terrain causes strong thermal pressure differentials known locally as afternoon breezes (such as the Washoe Zephyr at Lake Tahoe). Wind speeds typically peak between 1:00 PM and 5:00 PM before calming near sunset.
For stand-up paddleboarding (SUP), canoeing, and light kayaks, winds under 7 mph (light breeze) offer the safest, glassiest surface conditions. Between 8–14 mph, small wavelets develop, suitable for sailboats and powerboats. Winds exceeding 15 mph create steep whitecaps and rapid drift; winds over 21 mph warrant small craft warnings.
All weather and wind telemetry is fetched directly from the National Weather Service (NOAA - WFO TWC) high-resolution numerical point-forecast API. LakeRadar uses the official gridpoint for San Carlos Lake without artificial smoothing or third-party estimates.
Yes. Live hydrological sensor readings, 30-day elevation histories, full-pool benchmarks, and USGS station provenance are available on our dedicated San Carlos Lake Water Level & Temperature page.
View San Carlos Lake Water Level & Temperature →