Loading page content…
Loading page content…
Loading lake conditions…
Official National Weather Service (NWS) point forecast and real-time wind conditions for Vallecito Reservoir (Colorado). 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines, peak gusts, watercraft recreation safety thresholds, and 7-day marine outlook.
Hydrologic Outlook issued October 9 at 10:53AM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
Today: High 59°F · Low 48°F
Peak gusts: 3 mph · Lake surface chop expected
Humidity: 67% · Barometer: 29.91 inHg
USGS water monitoring available for Vallecito Reservoir.
Hydrologic Outlook issued October 9 at 10:53AM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
Fair for boating (55/100), from 4 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 0 mph from the northwest. Gusts to 7 mph. Working against it: 67% chance of precipitation is likely. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: visibility and conditions, verified water access. Confidence is moderate (84%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Poor for fishing (45/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 0 mph from the northwest. Overnight hours (04:00 local). Working against it: 67% chance of precipitation is likely. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: pressure trend, water temperature. Confidence is moderate (74%) because some inputs are unavailable or older than ideal.
Fair for kayaking (56/100), from 5 available inputs. Supporting this: Wind 0 mph from the northwest. Gusts to 7 mph. Working against it: 67% chance of precipitation is likely. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Confidence is high (90%).
Water temperature is not available from a verified source for this lake. No swimming score is shown without it. Supporting this: Wind 0 mph from the northwest. Working against it: Air temperature 49°F. 67% chance of precipitation is likely. The forecast mentions thunderstorms, which carries a risk penalty. Not available from a verified source for this lake: water temperature.
| Time | Air Temp | Wind (mph) | Direction | Peak Gusts | Rain Chance | Sky & Conditions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 AM | 49°F | 0 mph | — | ⚡ 7 mph | 67% | Rain Showers Likely |
| 5 AM | 49°F | 0 mph | — | ⚡ 7 mph | 81% | Rain Showers |
| 6 AM | 50°F | 0 mph | — | ⚡ 8 mph | 72% | Showers And Thunderstorms Likely |
| 7 AM | 48°F | 5 mph | SE | ⚡ 10 mph | 67% | Showers And Thunderstorms Likely |
| 8 AM | 48°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 13 mph | 50% | Patchy Fog |
| 9 AM | 51°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 15 mph | 38% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 10 AM | 54°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 17 mph | 40% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 11 AM | 57°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 20 mph | 44% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 12 PM | 59°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 23 mph | 46% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 1 PM | 59°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 24 mph | 71% | Showers And Thunderstorms Likely |
| 2 PM | 59°F | 10 mph | SW | ⚡ 25 mph | 75% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 3 PM | 58°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 25 mph | 87% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 4 PM | 58°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 23 mph | 94% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 5 PM | 56°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 22 mph | 89% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 6 PM | 55°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 22 mph | 89% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 7 PM | 54°F | 5 mph | S | ⚡ 25 mph | 96% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 8 PM | 53°F | 10 mph | S | ⚡ 31 mph | 99% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 9 PM | 53°F | 10 mph | SW | ⚡ 31 mph | 79% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 10 PM | 52°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 30 mph | 75% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 11 PM | 50°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 25 mph | 78% | Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 12 AM | 50°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 21 mph | 74% | Showers And Thunderstorms Likely |
| 1 AM | 48°F | 5 mph | SW | ⚡ 17 mph | 69% | Showers And Thunderstorms Likely |
| 2 AM | 48°F | 0 mph | — | ⚡ 15 mph | 52% | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms |
| 3 AM | 47°F | 0 mph | — | ⚡ 13 mph | 38% | Chance Rain Showers |
Mirror-like to gentle rippled water. Optimal conditions for paddleboarding, kayaking, swimming, and beginner water skiing or wakeboarding.
Pleasant breeze with small wavelets. Great for sailing, pleasure cruising, pontoon boats, and trolling for trout and bass.
Moderate waves with whitecaps likely. Requires skilled boat handling; kayaks, canoes, and stand-up paddleboards should stay close to sheltered bays.
Steep waves, cold spray, and hazardous open water. Avoid small craft voyages. Always check official National Weather Service lake wind advisories.
Rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South southeast wind around 0 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8am, then patchy fog and a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 8am and noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between noon and 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. South southeast wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 44. South southwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. South wind 0 to 5 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 51. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38.
A slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 50.
Mostly clear, with a low around 34.
Sunny, with a high near 55.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
A slight chance of rain showers before noon, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 56.
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 38.
A slight chance of rain showers before noon, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 54.
Vallecito Reservoir currently reports 52°F with wind velocity near 3 mph from the NW. Atmospheric forecasts and 24-hour hour-by-hour wind timelines are updated hourly from the National Weather Service gridpoint matching the lake's coordinates.
At Vallecito Reservoir and surrounding mountain valleys, diurnal heating of the surrounding terrain causes strong thermal pressure differentials known locally as afternoon breezes (such as the Washoe Zephyr at Lake Tahoe). Wind speeds typically peak between 1:00 PM and 5:00 PM before calming near sunset.
For stand-up paddleboarding (SUP), canoeing, and light kayaks, winds under 7 mph (light breeze) offer the safest, glassiest surface conditions. Between 8–14 mph, small wavelets develop, suitable for sailboats and powerboats. Winds exceeding 15 mph create steep whitecaps and rapid drift; winds over 21 mph warrant small craft warnings.
All weather and wind telemetry is fetched directly from the National Weather Service (NOAA - WFO GJT) high-resolution numerical point-forecast API. LakeRadar uses the official gridpoint for Vallecito Reservoir without artificial smoothing or third-party estimates.
Yes. Live hydrological sensor readings, 30-day elevation histories, full-pool benchmarks, and USGS station provenance are available on our dedicated Vallecito Reservoir Water Level & Temperature page.
View Vallecito Reservoir Water Level & Temperature →